Sps Commerce Stock Performance
| SPSC Stock | USD 62.20 -1.52 -2.39% |
The firm maintains a market beta of 0.94, which implies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. SPS Commerce returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, SPS Commerce is expected to follow. At this point, SPS Commerce has a negative expected return of -0.49%. Please make sure to verify SPS Commerce's the relationship between the Accumulation Distribution and day typical price , to decide if SPS Commerce performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Risk-Adjusted Performance
Weak
Weak | Strong |
Over the last 90 days, SPS Commerce generated negative risk-adjusted returns and added little value for investors with long positions. The result matters because weak risk-adjusted return can persist even when isolated price moves briefly look constructive. In spite of unsteady performance in the last few months, the Stock's basic indicators remain rather sound which may send shares a bit higher in April 2026. The latest tumult may also be a sign of longer-term up-swing for the firm shareholders. ...more
Actual Historical Performance (%)
One Day Return -4.22 | Five Day Return 1.72 | Year To Date Return -30.58 | Ten Year Return 190.75 | All Time Return 797.49 |
Last Split Factor 2:1 | Last Split Date 2019-08-23 |
1 | Balanced Analyst Sentiment on SPS Commerce Highlights Diverging Views Ahead of 2026 | 12/09/2025 |
2 | Disposition of 1732 shares by Reaume Marty M of SPS Commerce at 51.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 01/07/2026 |
3 | SPS Commerce Announces New Product Innovations Enabling Retailers and Brands to Meet the Needs of Evolving Supply Chains | 01/08/2026 |
4 | Disposition of 1000 shares by Reaume Marty M of SPS Commerce at 51.8 subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/09/2026 |
5 | SPS Commerce Q4 Earnings Beat Estimates | 02/12/2026 |
6 | SPS Commerce Releases FY 2026 Earnings Guidance | 02/13/2026 |
7 | SPS Commerce stock hits 52-week low at 58.72 - Investing.com | 02/18/2026 |
8 | Acquisition by Jamie Thingelstad of 23295 shares of SPS Commerce subject to Rule 16b-3 | 02/20/2026 |
9 | Fund Builds 40 Million SPS Commerce Stake as Shares Sink 60 percent Despite 100 Straight Growth Quarters | 02/23/2026 |
10 | SPS Commerce to Present at the Morgan Stanley Technology, Media Telecom Conference | 02/25/2026 |
11 | Is SPS Commerce Now Attractive After A 55 percent One Year Share Price Slump | 03/03/2026 |
| Begin Period Cash Flow | 241 M | |
| Total Cashflows From Investing Activities | -169.2 M |
SPS Commerce Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape
If you would invest 8,554 in SPS Commerce on December 9, 2025 and sell it today you would lose -2,334 from holding SPS Commerce or give up 27.29% of portfolio value over 90 days. SPS Commerce is currently does not generate positive expected returns and assumes 2.6164% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. In different words, 23% of stocks are less volatile than SPS, and 99% of all traded equity instruments are projected to make higher returns than the company over the 90 days investment horizon. Expected Return |
| Risk |
SPS Commerce Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price
The tendency of SPS Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
| Current Price | Horizon | Target Price | Odds to move above the current price in 90 days |
| 62.20 | 90 days | 62.20 | about 91.8 |
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of SPS Commerce to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 91.8 (This SPS Commerce probability density function shows the probability of SPS Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
SPS Commerce Price Density |
| Price |
Predictive Modules for SPS Commerce
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as SPS Commerce. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Mean reversion in SPS Commerce's is more reliable over longer time horizons. Short-term deviations can persist and even widen before correcting, making position sizing and risk management critical.
SPS Commerce Risk Indicators
For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. SPS Commerce is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the SPS Commerce's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold SPS Commerce, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of SPS Commerce within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.α | Alpha over Dow Jones | -0.3349 | |
β | Beta against Dow Jones | 0.94 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 13.33 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.1316 |
SPS Commerce Alerts and Suggestions
In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of SPS Commerce for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for SPS Commerce can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.| SPS Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is SPS Commerce Now Attractive After A 55 percent One Year Share Price Slump |
SPS Commerce Price Density Drivers
Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of SPS Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential SPS Commerce's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SPS Commerce's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 38 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 151.4 M |
SPS Commerce Fundamentals Growth
SPS Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of SPS Commerce, and SPS Commerce fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on SPS Stock performance.
| Return On Equity | 0.1 | |||
| Return On Asset | 0.0672 | |||
| Profit Margin | 0.12 % | |||
| Operating Margin | 0.18 % | |||
| Current Valuation | 2.24 B | |||
| Shares Outstanding | 37.39 M | |||
| Price To Earning | 103.21 X | |||
| Price To Book | 2.45 X | |||
| Price To Sales | 3.20 X | |||
| Revenue | 751.5 M | |||
| Gross Profit | 519.88 M | |||
| EBITDA | 182.09 M | |||
| Net Income | 93.34 M | |||
| Cash And Equivalents | 259.24 M | |||
| Cash Per Share | 7.20 X | |||
| Total Debt | 10.03 M | |||
| Debt To Equity | 0.04 % | |||
| Current Ratio | 3.61 X | |||
| Book Value Per Share | 25.96 X | |||
| Cash Flow From Operations | 178.79 M | |||
| Earnings Per Share | 2.46 X | |||
| Market Capitalization | 2.4 B | |||
| Total Asset | 1.17 B | |||
| Retained Earnings | 429.44 M | |||
| Working Capital | 180.95 M | |||
| Current Asset | 166.79 M | |||
| Current Liabilities | 24.23 M | |||
How Has SPS Commerce Performed?
SPS Commerce performance is measured on a risk-adjusted basis against benchmarks. Liquidity conditions can influence realized performance through spreads and execution cost. Our framework examines whether SPS Commerce complements diversified exposures over long horizons.
Methodology
Unless otherwise specified, financial data for SPS Commerce is derived from periodic company reporting (annual and quarterly where available). Asset-level metrics are computed daily by Macroaxis LLC and refreshed regularly based on asset type. SPS (USA Stocks:SPSC) prices are typically delayed by approximately 20 minutes from primary exchanges for listed equities. Data may be delayed depending on reporting sources and market conventions Return metrics, performance scores, and risk-adjusted figures shown here are computed from historical price series.
Assumptions
Macroaxis analytics incorporate public filings and market reference sources and official disclosures from U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) via EDGAR. Data harmonization may result in minor timing offsets. All analytics are generated using standardized, rules-based models designed to promote consistency and comparability across instruments. Model assumptions, reference parameters, and selected computational inputs are available in the Model Inputs section. If you have questions about our data sources or methodology, please contact Macroaxis Support.Analyst Sources
SPS Commerce is covered by 12 analysts. 6 analysts have submitted revenue and/or earnings estimates that may be incorporated into Macroaxis consensus inputs where available. Representative analyst firms may include RBC Capital Markets, Barclays, HSBC Global Research, Wells Fargo Securities, Bank of America Securities, Jefferies, among others. Updates may occur throughout the day.
Things to note about SPS Commerce performance evaluation
Automated alerts tied to SPS Commerce help investors surface material conditions that may support or challenge the current thesis before they become expensive mistakes. In practice, the value comes from seeing which signals are new, which are persistent, and which are strong enough to justify action.
| SPS Commerce generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
| Over 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors | |
| Latest headline from simplywall.st: Is SPS Commerce Now Attractive After A 55 percent One Year Share Price Slump |
- Analyzing SPS Commerce's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
- Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether SPS Commerce's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
- Examining SPS Commerce's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
- Evaluating SPS Commerce's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of SPS Commerce's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
- Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of SPS Commerce's stock. These opinions can provide insight into SPS Commerce's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
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